Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.102313 0.120403 0.140635 0.164926 0.193283 0.225330 0.264287
2025-11-16 0.074709 0.097768 0.126285 0.164082 0.212810 0.273465 0.354665
2025-11-23 0.057587 0.081620 0.113664 0.159391 0.222849 0.307682 0.429605
2025-11-30 0.048580 0.073510 0.108861 0.162437 0.241373 0.353172 0.523326
2025-12-07 0.041212 0.066032 0.103167 0.162475 0.254510 0.391536 0.610650
2025-12-14 0.034668 0.058501 0.095933 0.158609 0.260517 0.419193 0.684403
2025-12-21 0.030153 0.053348 0.091428 0.157993 0.270911 0.454005 0.772515
2025-12-28 0.027586 0.050973 0.090956 0.163651 0.291826 0.507473 0.896487
2026-01-04 0.025674 0.049404 0.091535 0.170994 0.316214 0.569037 1.040708
2026-01-11 0.023556 0.047115 0.090475 0.175147 0.335253 0.623162 1.177630
2026-01-18 0.021195 0.044002 0.087456 0.175195 0.346607 0.664544 1.295717
2026-01-25 0.018367 0.039550 0.081300 0.168397 0.344061 0.679864 1.366485
2026-02-01 0.015585 0.034912 0.074429 0.159828 0.338080 0.690070 1.432995
2026-02-08 0.013966 0.032506 0.071773 0.159566 0.348960 0.734773 1.574213
2026-02-15 0.012206 0.029498 0.067415 0.155063 0.350345 0.760440 1.679569
2026-02-22 0.011268 0.028204 0.066565 0.158035 0.368050 0.821717 1.866864
2026-03-01 0.010229 0.026502 0.064550 0.158073 0.379195 0.870201 2.032092
2026-03-08 0.009073 0.024322 0.061115 0.154309 0.381121 0.898605 2.155850
2026-03-15 0.008246 0.022840 0.059126 0.153709 0.390344 0.944361 2.324522
2026-03-22 0.007837 0.022386 0.059592 0.159218 0.414986 1.028421 2.592771
2026-03-29 0.007538 0.022179 0.060652 0.166367 0.444586 1.127494 2.908496
2026-04-05 0.007111 0.021549 0.060526 0.170410 0.466799 1.211161 3.195944
2026-04-12 0.006550 0.020446 0.058984 0.170458 0.478606 1.270385 3.428744